Republican Presidential Candidates – by the likes

Based on a blog comment I got last week, I decided to re-run this blog entry, but updated for current numbers: a look at the Republican 2016 Presidential candidates, sorted by likes, as well as compared to national poll numbers.  Here’s what we got, as of 8/22/15, with polling data coming from the Real Clear Politics average:

Name URL Likes Poll
Donald Trump https://www.facebook.com/DonaldTrump?fref=ts 3252785 22.0%
Ben Carson https://www.facebook.com/realbencarson?fref=ts 2402265 9.7%
Rand Paul https://www.facebook.com/RandPaul?fref=ts 2060219 4.3%
Mike Huckabee https://www.facebook.com/mikehuckabee?fref=ts 1827106 4.3%
Ted Cruz https://www.facebook.com/tedcruzpage?fref=ts 1382259 7.3%
Rick Perry https://www.facebook.com/GovernorPerry?fref=ts 1208956 1.3%
Marco Rubio https://www.facebook.com/MarcoRubio?fref=ts 977084 7.3%
Scott Walker https://www.facebook.com/scottkwalker?fref=ts 359003 7.7%
Carly Fiorina https://www.facebook.com/CarlyFiorina?fref=ts 278647 6.3%
Bobby Jindal https://www.facebook.com/bobbyjindal?fref=ts 277298 0.7%
Rick Santorum https://www.facebook.com/RickSantorum?fref=ts 264786 1.0%
Jeb Bush https://www.facebook.com/jebbush?fref=ts 250367 10.7%
John Kasich https://www.facebook.com/JohnKasich?fref=ts 137944 4.3%
Lindsey Graham https://www.facebook.com/LindseyGrahamSC?fref=ts 129926 0.3%
Chris Christie https://www.facebook.com/govchristie?fref=ts 118831 3.3%
George Pataki https://www.facebook.com/GovGeorgePataki?fref=ts 18324
Jim Gilmore ?? ??

So, what conclusions can you draw from this chart?

  • First, I’d argue that the “establishment” candidates are not doing well in polls or likes.  The top liked candidates are either non-politicians or the anti-establishment type.
  • Generally speaking, there’s some sort of correlation between likes and poll position.  The one exception is Jeb Bush.
  • Time in office/public eye doesn’t necessarily correlate with ranking of likes: See George Pataki and Lindsey Graham.

Tweets and Consequences

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